The University of Arizona

Metapopulation Modeling in the 2010 Cholera Outbreak in Haiti

Metapopulation Modeling in the 2010 Cholera Outbreak in Haiti

Series: Quantitative Biology Colloquium
Location: Math 402
Presenter: Scott Sawyer, Department of Physics, University of Arizona

Abstract The purpose of the presentation is to introduce the Robert May Award winning paper by Michael R. Kelly, titled “The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies.” The presentation will start with the three compartment SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model of disease spread in a population.  The SIWR model, which adds a water compartment to the SIR model, will be covered.  The SIWR model is modified in the Kelly paper to be applied to a metapopulation to analyze the best disease management procedures using vaccinations.  Specifically, the Kelly paper applies the results to the Cholera outbreak in Haiti in 2010.

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